Hello fellow punters: Please Note, to see the graphs please email email@example.com
Now the year is coming to an end it’s always a good time to reflect on the year that was and have a clear mind on what plan we want to lock in moving forward into 2020. If the current one is working, great isn’t broken don’t fix it, but if it needs tweaking or you don’t have a plan at all, then read on.
I have below a great little exacta / quinella plan that you might like to take on board and tweak to suit to your personal touch. Firstly, well it was somewhat of a frustrating spring carnival for me by my expectations. My data & analyst of races run were spot on but pretty much I just kept jumping on at great odds one run too early.But hey that’s racing & it tests our medal & bank.
However over the years I have always kept my head above water with 2 things ( a) Patience (b) a staking plan that works. We would all love a neat constant stream of income every week from betting but the reality is sometimes you go for weeks bumming out and then a couple of back to back good size dividends get you right back on track and hopefully well ahead. That’s the reality!
I kept myself out of a deep hole with a bad spring with just a few top dividends. I had the Quinella in the Cup Southern France, Magic Wand, and Prince of Arron & Vow & declare.
I had a nice all up on Oaks Day that got a few bucks back. And last week a nice win collect on Kiwia in the Ballarat Cup at $17.90. More importantly was the exacta I collected with a dividend of $168.50 thankyou. It’s these little surprises that keep you going providing you have a staking plan that capitalises on these dividends when they arrive.
With that in mind I thought I might just demonstrate a simple staking plan that is for exactas only (or same deal with Quinellas ) that is mathematically very sound but very simple.
I like to take one horse in an exacta as a standout from my 2 dangers. Occasional I will go 3 dangers. I believe it’s a logical & good idea to bet different size units as to the approximate price of your standout. As you can see I only have 5 groups of prices. ( I must stress this is the actual price of the top selection not rated price ) I use the fixed odds after scratching’s on Saturday mornings. Put them on, set & forget. So as you can see in the chart my top bet would be $100 or 50 units (1 x 2 exacta) and a horse around 20/1 would be a bet of $60 / 30 units.
For example sake of approx. returns I have multiplied each standout price x an imaginary $8.00 second placing to show you approx. dividends & returns. So the $3.00 fav wins x $ 8.00 second placing = div $24 x 50 units = $1200. Not too shabby ah.
So in the graph I have demonstrated one days betting with a bet on each price range. Total of 6 bets.
If you got the one winner @ in the $5.00 bracket $1800 return, for days outlay $450.00
Now you can have any combos 1 x 2 – 1×3 or maybe you prefer 2 x 4 etc. It’s just a matter of changing the formula in row 4. I have included a 1 x 3 graph below for comparison for you.
I hope this gives you something to think about moving forward into 2020 punting year. Believe me without a staking plan you are doomed, trust me. It doesn’t have to be complicated just mathematically logical & most importantly suited to your bank and comfort zone / types of bets. Set up a spreadsheet & have a play & some fun experimenting and the lock it Eddie & go for it. Personally don’t bet to win milk money, but hey that me.
Good Luck & Good Punting.