The day has started with a series of Windows 10 updates which somehow missed installation. It delays things slightly but all has been posted ontime. All our plans are experiencing a bit of a downturn, I have personally run dry since Saturday as the C Plan has had a couple of misses. Yesterday there was a particularly galling one as the winner hit favouritism in the last 30 seconds and got a dream inside run to win on the post beating our selection which looked the winner but just couldnt hit the post in time. A major reverse that.
The a top rated fav runner got in at Sale but because the price was well over $4 it was eliminated as a C Plan race. Luckily today’s another day and time to break our three day break. In the meantime two of our Gold Club horses (both fillies actually) are working well with one to have a 3rd up run next Tuesday and the other to ramp up the work ready to barrier trial early June and then make her debut before the end of the 2yo season. Somethng for Members to look forward to.
“Garry was interesting to read today’s comments re C plan. I’ve only been keeping records after buying your new book & in that time there has been 609 selections for 305 winners which is spot on the 50% strike rate you said would happen but one interesting aspect is that i’ve been ignoring the $4 rule not by intent but by ignorance not reading the rules correctly. Will be interesting what the next 600 bets throw up!! cheers Robin” BLOODY GOOD WORK ROBIN, everybody keeps asking me but I dont have time to look them all up I just say “well take a months subscription and see for yourself”. “For goodness sake, if a punter can’t afford the investment of a little money and the time, they don’t deserve to win do they?”
And I still get the dummies who say “ive decided to give it a go” and I say “how much money have you set aside for your bank and how much do you want to win?” When they say, “well Ive got $1,000 together and as long as I win just $200 or $300 a week I’d be happy.” That’s when I tell them they are wasting their time. They don’t like it and I;m not the sort of person who would take their money…I’m not that desperate although there are plenty of desperadoes who would.
So what is the $4 rule? Well as noted above, a horse that is favourite at more than $4 we ignore simply because it makes the race a very open betting race i.e. nobody has a clue? Quite different from a horse that firms from $4 into $3. I generally watch the way the market is going and on Rod Cleary’s Vicbet.com you get to see the fluctuations virtually from the time the market has opened.