Archive for category: Diary

So punters often put more money on selections that have been selectd multiple times as they assume this makes those runners a better bet. Mostly it doesn’t. Well it does but not to the effect of backing the selection multiple times. For example. Yesterday we had 5 selections that were chosen multiple times. none of these selection processes have a strike rate less than 30% and mostly 40% plus. Altogether 5 runners selected 17 times so 17 bets. The result just one win at $1.50 selected 4 times so $6 back from 17 out. One selection which came up 5 times didnt even place. IT’s a sobering lesson is it not? Sure you can probabaly be more confident but only end up with more on if they are in separate plans on different staking plans so for example, if it was  Premium and you are running a staking plan just for Premiums, yes you would back it according to that plan and where the staking was up to. Ans so on and yes you could end up on that selection several times if you are following all those plans. That’s a different process.

Hi all, after Perth scratchings we have had a slight change to the rated prices PLUS our selection in the last at Ascot is now a Best Bet, our only one for the day. ur daily feature race looks like another winner today, we have had a good week even though we did not get all the Quinellas etc. that we wanted. We will land the big ones but we wont know which day that will be.  Hopefully our Daily Feature today will yield a nice result from our each way bet and Quinella strategy. Have a great day, here in Manno we expect a late change which will drop us from 40 to 24 degrees. We hope.

Hopefully the Daily Feature will make our day, already the Best Bet has won @ $2.60 and to be honest I am very happy with that price. It drifted badly in the market. Race 7 at Townsville isn’t until after 6 so a bit of waiting to go. In Townsville Race 2 4 Hologram is our top rated runner and fav but 12 Sttradify is 2nd rated and $126 the win and $21 fixed the place. Who knows, maybe a quinella. We’ll see but dot hold your breath. The E-News is on the way with the Perth Cup preview https://youtu.be/lup7vAEDGZg 

Good luck for the rest of the day.

I say that because we were never going to lose but it was never going to be value. The winner, our top rated runner, was only $2.20 and the runners up $5 and $3 with Tarquin our possible longshot 4th @ $15. I arrived in Melbourne in time to view the race although I had no internet to do much about it. It was a clearcut result. Anyhow I did take the time to view the Melbourne New Year welcome but we didn’t suspect that we were standing 100 metres away from the launching pad, ground Zero so to speak. It was deafening but beautiful.

Back home , I had pulled my sail down and put it away, simply to keep it away from the 40 degree heat we have been experiencing. Newcastles New Year turned out to be lightning bolts from the heavens with all New Year functions cancelled because of the risk to public safety.

Anyhow, I just await scratchings as the day dawns, slightly overcast in Melbourne but no rain, it’s all very civilised with the CBD to swing into action at 11 to close at 7 tonight. Personally I’ll be spending the day with meetings and another in the a.m. before heading home tomorrow arvo.

So lets start the New Year off with a win. I’ll have a serious look at Flemington, the oonly serious Metropolitan race meeting of the day, Randwick is the inner track, and a couple fo black type races to assess.

Our Winform select tracks program had a good day.

>> Totals >>> 78 bets 15wins  For a $100 bet  7800 8910 $1110 19 14.2 profit on turnover and Powerbet…Wow!

Our HR2D had a great day. The specials were lousy BUT 50% winning races and the Highstrikers Last MinuteMail had 10 wins from the 18 races.

We had a Gold Club selection in Doomben race 8. It ran 3rd at a great each way price but the top rated runner in that race won and paid $44. We missed the Quinella. It would have been massive for us but the 8yo stayer Honey Toast got between us, another near thing for us.

Plenty of action Sunday but I can’t finsih without mentioning the amzing performace of John Furgals SMS service. As we often say Summer is peak time for Johns selections and he excelled this week with over 50% winners inclduing an $8.50 shot and yesterday 4 from 6. Hotshots only managed 4 from 8 but a profit at least and a winning year.

So why the Petr Moody book? Well yesterday I had a brief sail inbetween selections and wouldnt you know it… Ilost my souvenire Moody Racing hat!