Change of scenery

Not much happening on the punt yesterday or today for me.   Work has given me the screaming eebie jeebies, so i’m playing golf today.

Not quite as exotic as Garry’s overseas trip but a change of scenery just the same.   Speaking of Garry, he has been in touch, noticed one of our tips for the 10,000 on Saturday ran 2nd (AGAIN).   He reckons we should be able to get on with a corporate for a second placed bet on Osborne Bulls………….we would collect most bets!   Garry has also had a couple of rides in a Tesla Cab and is MOST impressed, his comments summing it up…..’I want one’.

Anyway, good luck if you have a go today, i’ll be having something on Tamworth race 6, #1, Aragula.   Not a recommendation by the way, as my punting has left a bit to be desired lately.

Doomben 10,000

The Brisbane racing carnival is underway.
Garry would normally create a video highlighting a particular race for the weekend and giving his insight into how
Winform, through GTX, is able to assess the race and therefore come up with suggested bets.
I can’t do the video, but with the help of GTX, I will attempt to do some analysis on the Doomben 10,000, race 8.
It has to be an abbreviated version for print as opposed to the video presentation Garry would do.
The obvious consideration will be the state of the track, and at this time it is being put out as a soft 5,
with no forecast of rain. In Winform rating order:
Nature Strip is first up from a short letup of 49 days with a gear change of ‘Ear Muffs First Time’- rated 5/1;
Osborne Bulls also has a gear change, ‘Blinkers First Time’ – rated 11/2
Champagne Cuddles – rated 13/2
Tactical Advantage – rated 7/1
Manuel – rated 7/1
—————-an open race as far a the Winform ratings see it.
The last time Nature Strip had a short let up of 40+ days, he failed at his next start AND
only 1 of his 10/15 wins has been at 1200m. Osborne Bulls has only been unplaced once in his career of 18 starts,
with 6 wins at the 1200m distance. He has featured in the Stewards Report at his last 3 runs, so may have some
excuses for running 2nd at those 3 starts. With Bowman having a holiday, McEvoy takes the ride for the first time
and he may be able to do something Hughie couldn’t manage in those 3 runs…..Champagne Cuddles is a well performed mare
rated to her best, also featuring in the stewards reports her past 2 runs, has had 3 starts at Doomben, yet to win.
Tactical Advantage, up from Newcastle, second up from a spell. He has won before second up and also over the 1200 at
Doomben. He will be thereabouts for certain…..Manuel has his first look at Doomben but has a good record over 1200m.
Nature Strip and Manuel are front runners, Osborne Bulls get right back. Champagne Cuddles and Tactical Advantage tend to
settle midfield…………All bar one of the above runners have a rating figure to suggest it could win this race, Osborne Bulls record is impressive, I’m leaning towards Manuel, after shaking off Nature Strip, having to fight off Osborne Bulls in the last 50-100m.
You should be able to back both and hopefully one of them will get the chocolates and you will win.//////good luck

Just not quite the suggestion

I just checked the daily feature race results for Thursday and whilst the suggested win bets (that’s right there were 2 races offered up) did not eventuate, the exotics were healthy if you took them.   Hawksebury race 1, suggested bet was #2 (unplaced) but if you’d boxed the 5 runners you collect the trifecta, $530+ in the first bet and the first four in the second race bet, $840.   Unfortunately for me, I missed both races but had a good day anyway.   Looks like my seconds placings have ‘gone away’ for now and some winners have returned.

Daily Feature race winner!

Yesterday saw the daily feature race provide the winner at $7+ depending on where you bet.   The words used by our tipster were;   Just back the 6 E/w here. Im excited about this race as my mate Zac is riding this one.
It has a great chance today.

5:30 Alice Springs Race 8 06May19 2000m Opn   HCP $110000 Good 3

No     Form Horse              Wodds Wnet TCDWHB
6 X7663185 Lieder               2.2 56.0   DW

 

He couldn’t quite get the exotics with it, but if you took the tip and backed it each way, or even straight out, good result.

I hope he has a similar winner for us today.

 

Good Luck

 

 

Wanna freebie?

I couldn’t understand why my previous post hadn’t appeared in the diary.   I didn’t do the common sense check after writing it and go to the website and see if it had been processed properly!   Grrrrrrr, Common sense; we complain about it disappearing from our daily routine then fall foul ourselves… Anyway, I thought seeing as how I stuffed up Garry’s diary once, I might as well do something really sneaky.   What about a freebie from Garry’s bookshop…………….”Racing Pays More”……….?

This book has been around for a while and has a fair bit in it.   Plan A, Plan B and the ‘infamous’ Plan C.  Garry always falls back on Plan C when things aren’t going as well as expected or when he wants to while away a bit of time without too much form analysis.   There’s an article on Money Factory Approach and Parlay Magic…………The whole book is a good read worth every penny of the sell price

Another hit for Garry?

…….BUT………shoosh……………Garry will probably sack me for it but here’s the link…..ENJOY.

https://www.horseracingaustralia.info/downloads/Racing_Pays_More9152.pdf

Good to be ‘home’

After reading Garry’s experience with all things France, I’m glad to be in the land of Oz!

The golf game went no so good, thanks for asking.   Started with a par, then downhill from there.  The punt has been bad for yours truly, 3 seconds and a third from 4 bets since saturday.   Must be about to turn……….

Weather’s good, life’s good, guess winners aren’t everything, but it sure would be nice to grab one soon.

 

TRAVEL ADVENTURES OF GARRY AND ROS

Let no one tell you life isn’t a gamble. We certainly experienced it on our trip to FRance and not a horse in sight.

Rail to Sydney for our flight to Singapore and 5hen to Paris. 32 hours of travel. Then at CDG frustration getting through passport control, eventually getting priority so we could catch our train tonBordeaux. The train came and went without as, just no time allowed to make it. Then the changeable ticket, well instead of getting on next train and paying the change cost,all trains sold out for the d any.

 

solution. A Airfrance flight fromOrly , cost $764 plus 75 euro taxi to get to  airport. Taxi driverl “no English” Ros is beside herself  as the meter ticks over  and no sign of  Orly on the freeway. Does the driver understand where we want to go, we’ve been on the road for half an hour. We get there.

Then “can we pay cash” he does know some English after all. He help us with bags and directs us to right entrance. Inside I now can’t find my passport, dropped in cab as I searched for cash…..damn. Someone is getting hysterical.

Then through the entrance grinning widely is our taxi driver with the passport. All is forgiven and the blood pressure drops instantly.

 

but this is a domestic airport, only electronic check in and so on. A friendly non English speaking airport rep. Has to use two electronic terminals before finding a working one.

 

all good  after that and our pilot puts on a free aerobatic display as we make our approach to Bordeaux.

 

On the g round we work our way between heavily armed troops as we search for a taxi, then we have iu4 first experience in a TEsla with gull wing doors and amazingly a fluent engkish speaker. He explains that due to yellow vest protesters he may not be able to take us to our hotel

we ev entuslly arrive after being diverted by armed police around the main battle zone and lapse into a coma in our hotel.

 

life is never boring is it. The next day I wake to 79 emails, many from members who didn’t read my email notifying of my absence but oh well, I attend to the more urgent problems and now it’s monday, we  are on our ship the Scenic Diamond and the first perso; I meet is an owner and breeder  whose horses are trained by our our trainer Gary Portelli.

 

Cheers.

 

 

 

Garry overseas

Hi everyone,

Garry is away overseas and whilst he will try and keep us informed of his whereabouts and adventures while he is in some exotic location, sometimes it will be difficult to update the diary.   So you’re stuck with a stand in every now and again.

It’s Saturday, with plenty of action for punters who like lots of it.   I usually play golf on Saturday morning to keep the pm free for my preferred activity.   Today though, the event scheduled to play at the golf course does not appeal, so i’m giving it a miss and will play tomorrow in the Legacy Day event….much more enjoyable and social.

I’m trying a new strategy on Betfair at present, automated of course, so i don’t have to have much input apart from setting it up.    Small amounts to begin with to test the water.   High hopes, but i’ve had those high hopes before.

Anyway, good luck if you have a go today.

HR2D EARLY MAIL

An analysis we released to Members some time ago told of how the first races of the day were better betting propositions than the later races.

This gives rise to the idea that you quit while in front and the thing that remains to be decided is “how Far in front?”

Hers the result of the first few races yesterday

23/04/2019 12:55 Ballarat 1 5 Imperial Lad HR2D –
23/04/2019 12:55 Ballarat 1 6 Mozella HR2D –
23/04/2019 1:00: Wagga 1 1 Freundin HR2D
23/04/2019 1:00: Wagga 1 3 Coolyboss HR2D $3.2
23/04/2019 1:30: Ballarat 2 6 Mr Deadline HR2D $5.6
23/04/2019 1:30: Ballarat 2 11 Bird Of War HR2D
23/04/2019 1:35: Wagga 2 2 Contaminated HR2D $3
23/04/2019 1:35: Wagga 2 7 Prestissimo HR2D

Clearly we needed to go as far as Ballarat Race 2 to hit a clear profit (on level stakes). $7 out $8.6 in Profit $1.6

Race 2 Wagga gave us an extra dollar profit. Personally I would have said, well $5.6 is an above average dividend so quit now but others would say three races two winners, thats above the average win strike so quit now.

Others might say “I’ll invest my $1.6 profit in the next race as a possible extra earn or at worst square for the day.”

The choice is yours but with my busy days I tend to take the first profit and quit and bear on mind I bet $500 per race. Users often find a 90% winning days and one Member achieved 100% winning days for a whole month. That’s not to say you wont have days where you lose every day for a week, all things are possible.

I’ll post from time to time while I am on holidays with random thoughts on punting ideas and philosophies Ive learned over the year. Plus there will be other contributors.

P.S. I will endeavour to add new subscribers from my overseas base but my usual 24-48 hours to respond may be longer than that.

HOTSHOTS AND DAILY FEATURE PLUS FREE HR2D TODAY

2wins and a place ($2.8) from 4 selections yesterday and the Daily Feature made it a nice day for punters. For those who havent seen it here are todays HR2D that is the top two rated runners for HorseRacing2Day and these are based on statistics and projected ratings with a long term strike rate of 44% winning races. Average price of winners is $4+. But it is the start of your journey. We recommend you look more closely starting with these. For example, most runners over $10 can be eliminated without changing things much and older horses have a very poor strike rate. Softer track conditions make it a little harder so maybe stick to Soft5 at worst. Heres todays list. Its not easy to read (our Members site is much easier to read once you have subscribed) . Remember the cost works out at just $1.50 a day, cheaper than the Newspaper. Here s the link to the latest Seminar Video https://youtu.be/cmB_Mp6r_Co

22/04/2019 12:02 Toowoomba 1 2 Wheres The Money HR2D
22/04/2019 12:02 Toowoomba 1 7 Gothic Romance HR2D
22/04/2019 12:37 Toowoomba 2 1 Aengus HR2D
22/04/2019 12:37 Toowoomba 2 7 Fearless Queen HR2D
22/04/2019 12:40 Sandown Hillsi 1 1 The Executioner HR2D
22/04/2019 12:40 Sandown Hillsi 1 9 Absolute Flirt HR2D
22/04/2019 12:48 Muswellbrook 1 2 Jay Okay HR2D
22/04/2019 12:48 Muswellbrook 1 6 Sheeran HR2D
22/04/2019 12:55 Oakbank 1 1 Joshua Reynolds HR2D
22/04/2019 1:05: Randwick (I) 1 1 Czarson HR2D
22/04/2019 1:05: Randwick (I) 1 3 Dr Kardo HR2D
22/04/2019 1:12: Toowoomba 3 3 Button Pusher HR2D
22/04/2019 1:12: Toowoomba 3 8 Royalist HR2D
22/04/2019 1:15: Sandown Hillsi 2 3 McGarrett HR2D
22/04/2019 1:15: Sandown Hillsi 2 4 Delvecchio HR2D
22/04/2019 1:23: Muswellbrook 2 1 Snowzone HR2D
22/04/2019 1:23: Muswellbrook 2 2 Luff HR2D
22/04/2019 1:40: Randwick (I) 2 1 Agassi HR2D
22/04/2019 1:40: Randwick (I) 2 2 Smiling City HR2D
22/04/2019 1:47: Toowoomba 4 2 Go Getter HR2D
22/04/2019 1:47: Toowoomba 4 11 She Goes Boom HR2D
22/04/2019 1:50: Sandown Hillsi 3 6 Lecture HR2D
22/04/2019 1:50: Sandown Hillsi 3 13 Feather HR2D
22/04/2019 2:00: Muswellbrook 3 1 Deviate HR2D
22/04/2019 2:00: Muswellbrook 3 2 Foolin Around HR2D
22/04/2019 2:10: Oakbank 3 1 Abshiroo HR2D
22/04/2019 2:10: Oakbank 3 4 Star Quest HR2D
22/04/2019 2:20: Randwick (I) 3 2 Annas Joy HR2D
22/04/2019 2:20: Randwick (I) 3 6 Colombina HR2D
22/04/2019 2:27: Toowoomba 5 1 Angels Of Fenway HR2D
22/04/2019 2:27: Toowoomba 5 10 Miyako Odori HR2D
22/04/2019 2:30: Sandown Hillsi 4 4 Express Raider HR2D
22/04/2019 2:30: Sandown Hillsi 4 16 Skyway Star HR2D
22/04/2019 2:40: Muswellbrook 4 5 Tennessee Man HR2D
22/04/2019 2:40: Muswellbrook 4 6 Augusta In April HR2D
22/04/2019 2:49: York 1 1 Lukes Choice HR2D
22/04/2019 2:49: York 1 3 Calag HR2D
22/04/2019 2:50: Oakbank 4 2 Ours HR2D
22/04/2019 3:00: Randwick (I) 4 4 Watchdog HR2D
22/04/2019 3:00: Randwick (I) 4 9 Kolding HR2D
22/04/2019 3:07: Toowoomba 6 5 Bequeathed HR2D
22/04/2019 3:07: Toowoomba 6 7 Namib HR2D
22/04/2019 3:10: Sandown Hillsi 5 11 Diamond Bliss HR2D
22/04/2019 3:10: Sandown Hillsi 5 12 Fabric HR2D
22/04/2019 3:20: Muswellbrook 5 2 Alvin Purple HR2D
22/04/2019 3:20: Muswellbrook 5 11 Arleta HR2D
22/04/2019 3:29: York 2 1 Get The Vibe HR2D
22/04/2019 3:29: York 2 2 Sense Of Denial HR2D
22/04/2019 3:30: Oakbank 5 6 Yankee Lou HR2D
22/04/2019 3:30: Oakbank 5 10 Sugar With That HR2D
22/04/2019 3:40: Randwick (I) 5 4 Kings Peak HR2D
22/04/2019 3:40: Randwick (I) 5 5 Mangione HR2D
22/04/2019 3:47: Toowoomba 7 1 Lil Rodge HR2D
22/04/2019 3:47: Toowoomba 7 9 Global Factor HR2D
22/04/2019 3:50: Sandown Hillsi 6 8 Begood Toya Mother HR2D
22/04/2019 3:50: Sandown Hillsi 6 13 Dancing Tycoon HR2D
22/04/2019 4:00: Muswellbrook 6 4 All Stand HR2D
22/04/2019 4:00: Muswellbrook 6 7 I Am A Cool Kid HR2D
22/04/2019 4:09: York 3 1 Flower Of Scotland HR2D
22/04/2019 4:09: York 3 2 Kiss The Breeze HR2D
22/04/2019 4:10: Oakbank 6 5 Amerissa HR2D
22/04/2019 4:10: Oakbank 6 7 Honey Princess HR2D
22/04/2019 4:20: Randwick (I) 6 6 Doro Rain HR2D
22/04/2019 4:20: Randwick (I) 6 10 Pop Girl HR2D
22/04/2019 4:27: Toowoomba 8 1 Le Beau Renard HR2D
22/04/2019 4:27: Toowoomba 8 4 Deep Song HR2D
22/04/2019 4:30: Sandown Hillsi 7 1 Azuro HR2D
22/04/2019 4:30: Sandown Hillsi 7 12 Fanciful Toff HR2D
22/04/2019 4:40: Muswellbrook 7 1 Galapagos HR2D
22/04/2019 4:40: Muswellbrook 7 7 Power Of Wexford HR2D
22/04/2019 4:49: York 4 1 May Keep Him HR2D
22/04/2019 4:49: York 4 4 Krakkas HR2D
22/04/2019 4:50: Oakbank 7 2 Chevaux HR2D
22/04/2019 4:50: Oakbank 7 7 Lady Soma HR2D
22/04/2019 5:00: Randwick (I) 7 2 Be Mindful HR2D
22/04/2019 5:00: Randwick (I) 7 3 Magicalease HR2D
22/04/2019 5:07: Toowoomba 9 1 Road To Heaven HR2D
22/04/2019 5:07: Toowoomba 9 2 Hi Fiver HR2D
22/04/2019 5:10: Sandown Hillsi 8 4 Heir To The Throne HR2D
22/04/2019 5:10: Sandown Hillsi 8 13 Paint The Town Two HR2D
22/04/2019 5:25: York 5 1 Ascot Gold HR2D
22/04/2019 5:25: York 5 2 Reducing Numbers HR2D
22/04/2019 5:30: Oakbank 8 1 Winning Partner HR2D
22/04/2019 5:30: Oakbank 8 5 Bohemian Forest HR2D
22/04/2019 5:55: York 6 1 Maybe One More HR2D
22/04/2019 5:55: York 6 10 Metallic Queen HR2D
22/04/2019 6:25: York 7 2 Little Red Roman HR2D
22/04/2019 6:25: York 7 3 Rosebush HR2D
22/04/2019 7:00: York 8 2 Rebow HR2D
22/04/2019 7:00: York 8 4 Armed And Ready HR2D