We have a number of plans built around true favourites as opposed to false favourites and we start by making sure our criteria are spot on. That works for us with strikes rates between 40% and $50% wins. Yesterday the SMS specials all lost , althought the Launceston horse was called first over the line but after 5 minutes it was declared 2nd. BUgga! So a losing run of three. Our new Profitmaker series finished with a nice winner Saturday evening had two eligible selections for a first $2.30 and a second, however one other selection was around equal fav so I backed it but the actual favourite knocked it out. Our third method was plain awful, it had two winners from 13 runners but only two of these won and as neither was favourite left us with a heap of losers. A bad day with a run of 12 losing bets but at the end of the day Money Factory was only 10% into the Bank and that’s the beauty of it. Ironically, our Daily Feature Race found the winner but due to a family commitment, I wasn’t on it. Generally , if backing favourites, there will be a massive run of outs each month at some stage. Remeber, there are around 1300+ favourites running each month. Runs of outs into the 30’s are common. Our methods rarely exceed 12 to 13 outs and so yesterday is towards the worst which was around 19, howver the flip side of the coin is that winners when they come also come in bunches , and already this years we have seen 8 in a row, 11 from 13 , and so on. For those on holiday today, enjoy it while you can. It looks like a wet day most places.